YDLib / PUBLIC RESEARCH JOURNAL

Ideas, backed
by evidence.

Articles, findings, and experiments from the research library. Explore the evidence, methodology, and limitations.

OPEN TO READ · NO ACCOUNT REQUIRED

REPRODUCIBLE METHOD STUDY · SYNTHETIC DATA

Better forecasts. Different decisions.

An executed, downloadable experiment showing why probability quality, classification and cost-sensitive decisions need separate diagnostics.

Search articles & findingsCategoryTypeSort

Starter library

Market structure · ARTICLE

A testable hypothesis, a precise event definition and a plan for finding out—without confusing a probability with a trading strategy.

~2 min read10/21/2026Read article ↗

Starter library

Research methods · ARTICLE

A practical framework for turning an observation into a question that can fail, with data, costs and decision rules written down in advance.

~2 min read10/21/2026Read article ↗